We assume AI is coming for everyone’s job, but a 2025 Stanford study tracking payroll data found the damage is concentrated by age: employment for 22-to-25-year-olds in the most AI-exposed roles fell roughly 13%, while older workers in the very same jobs were barely touched
In November 2025, three Stanford economists pulled monthly payroll records from ADP and found something the broad "AI is coming for everyone" story doesn't quite capture.